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Coinbase Warns US Stablecoin Rules Could Boost China’s CBDC

Rohan

Rohan

Dec 31, 2025

4 min read

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The GENIUS Act: US Stablecoin Regulation Overview

Passed in June 2025, the GENIUS Act establishes reserve and compliance standards for stablecoins issued in the United States. A key feature includes an explicit prohibition against stablecoin issuers offering direct interest payments or rewards.

However, the law allows third-party reward programs designed to incentivize stablecoin use, creating a nuanced regulatory environment. Critics argue this partial allowance limits the industry's ability to compete globally with other digital currencies that offer more attractive yields.

Reserve and Compliance Highlights of the GENIUS Act:

ProvisionDescription
Reserve RequirementsStablecoins must be backed 1:1 with reserves
Interest Payment BanStablecoin issuers cannot pay direct interest
Third-party Rewards AllowedRewards allowed only if managed externally

Faryar Shirzad, Coinbase’s chief policy officer, emphasized on X (formerly Twitter):

"Modifying the GENIUS Act to limit stablecoin rewards further risks ceding ground to China’s digital yuan, which is expanding its capabilities with interest payments starting 2026."

China’s Digital Yuan Expansion and Strategic Edge

China recently announced plans to enable interest payments on digital yuan wallets commencing January 2026. This positions the digital yuan beyond a standard digital cash replacement, integrating it more deeply into asset management and cross-border payment solutions.

This strategic move is viewed as part of China’s broader agenda to internationalize its CBDC and challenge the dominance of the US dollar in digital payments, especially as global competition in financial technologies accelerates.

Max Avery, crypto policy analyst, noted:

"The ability to offer yields directly on CBDCs like the digital yuan presents a fundamental advantage over US stablecoins hampered by domestic regulations. This could accelerate adoption in global markets sensitive to returns."

Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong's Firm Stance Against Rule Changes

Brian Armstrong, Coinbase’s CEO, has publicly stated his opposition to any efforts aimed at reopening or revising the GENIUS Act's provisions on stablecoin rewards.

He branded such attempts as a “red line,” accusing traditional banks of lobbying aggressively to protect their deposit bases by restricting stablecoin yields. Armstrong argued that while banks benefit from Fed reserve earnings of roughly 4%, consumers receive minimal interest on savings, leaving room for stablecoins to disrupt the sector.

Armstrong warned:

"Banks may seek to restrict stablecoin rewards now, but their long-term aim is probably to offer their own interest-bearing stablecoins once the regulatory landscape suits them."

This friction highlights the tension between established banking institutions and emerging crypto platforms in shaping the future of digital finance.

Market Implications and Global Competition

The regulatory environment in the US surrounding stablecoins directly affects the digital asset market's evolution domestically and internationally. Restrictions on stablecoin rewards may discourage innovative US-issued stablecoins from competing effectively against foreign counterparts, including CBDCs and international stablecoin projects.

Key Aspects Influencing Market Dynamics:

  • US stablecoins may see reduced user demand if rewards lag behind alternatives.
  • China's digital yuan could gain increased cross-border usage due to enhanced functionality.
  • Banks lobbying for stricter rules could slow decentralized finance (DeFi) innovations involving stablecoins.

Industry observers regard these developments as critical in determining where the leadership in global digital payments will reside in the coming decade.

Final Takeaway

Coinbase’s warning underscores a pivotal moment in global digital finance competition. The US stablecoin regulatory framework, particularly the GENIUS Act’s stance on rewards, has significant implications for the dollar's digital utility and global crypto market positioning.

With China poised to start interest payments on its CBDC wallets in 2026, US policymakers face pressure to balance prudent regulation against preserving innovation incentives. Failure to adapt may risk ceding leadership to foreign CBDCs and stablecoin rivals amid an accelerating digital payments race.

Investors and institutions should closely monitor regulatory developments, industry lobbying, and international CBDC progress to navigate the evolving landscape effectively.

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